nav emailalert searchbtn searchbox tablepage yinyongbenwen piczone journalimg searchdiv qikanlogo popupnotification paper
2021 03 v.37 1-8
Research on the pathway and policy framework of achieving carbon peak and carbon neutrality
Email:
DOI: 10.19944/j.eptep.1674-8069.2021.03.001
English author unit:

Abstract:

In order to effectively promote the low-carbon transformation of China's economic and energy systems, considering the systematicness, scientificity and integrity of carbon reduction schemes, two concepts are put forward. One concept is the peaking of net CO_2 emissions, also called carbon peak, and the other one is the plateau about carbon peak and carbon neutrality. The basic approach to achieve the latter concept's target is expounded, which is with regard to economy, society and the transition process of low-carbon technology. Meanwhile, the adjustment suggestion of policy framework is studied, the tightly focused problems are investigated. It is proposed that the path to reduce carbon emission should be designed according to some definite aspects, such as the physical carbon intensity index and the value carbon intensity index of products which belong to different industries, the other indexes in connection with assessing the efficiency of carbon emission reduction. The general trend of China's carbon emission reduction is to reach its peak by 2030, followed by a wavelike decrease and a slight decline(to about 2035), and then a steady decline(to about 2040), followed by a approximated linear decline(to about 2050), and finally an accelerated decline(to about 2060) to achieve carbon neutrality by 2060. It is presented that the existing policy framework should be adjusted from the aspects of regulated government functions, strengthening top-level design, improving index system, scientifically emission accounting, as well as the suggestion including the establishment of mult-index system, which covers binding indicator and guidance indicator. It is indicated that special attention should be concentrated on some key problems refering to significant safety risks of power system in energy's low carbon transition, systematic cost of transition, ordered coal reduction, etc.

KeyWords: carbon peak;carbon neutrality;pathway;policy framework;important problems
References

[1]新华网.习近平报道专集[EB/OL].http://www.xinhuanet.com/politics/leaders/2020-09/22/c_1126527652.htm,2020-09-22.

[2]新华网.习近平报道专集[EB/OL].http://www.xinhuanet.com/2020-12/12/c_1126853600.htm.2020-12-12.

[3]中国新闻网.习近平主持召开中央财经委员会第九次会议[EB/OL].http://www.chinanews.com/gn/2021/03-15/9432980.shtml.2020-03-15.

[4]赵克维.论《巴黎协定》中的国家自主贡献制度[D].华中科技大学,2019.

[5]邓旭,谢俊,滕飞.何谓“碳中和”[J].气候变化研究进展,2021,17(1):107-113.

[6]Eco-Business.Explainer:What is carbon neutrality,and can it really be achieved[EB/OL].(2020-01-13).https://www.eco-business.com/news/explainer-what-is-carbon-neutrality-and-can-it-really-be-achieved/.

[7]United Nations Climate Change.The Kyoto Protocol[EB/OL].https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings#:2cf7f3b8-5c04-4d8a-95e2-f91ee4e4e85d.2021-4-2.

[8]高云,高翔,张晓华.全球2℃温升目标与应对气候变化长期目标的演进——从《联合国气候变化框架公约》到《巴黎协定》[J].Engineering,2017,3(2):262-276.

[9]WEI Yiming,HAN Rong,LIANG Qiaomei,et al.An integrated assessment of INDCs under shared socioecnomic pathways:an implementation of C3IAM[J].Natural Hazards,2018,92(2):585-618.

[10]何建坤.碳达峰、碳中和目标导向下能源和经济的低碳转型[J].环境经济研究,2021,6(1):1-9.

[11]林伯强,刘希颖.中国城市化阶段的碳排放:影响因素和减排策略[J].经济研究,2010,45(8):66-78.

[12]孙耀华,何爱平,彭硕毅,等.碳强度减排指标约束下碳排放权的省际分配效率研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2019,34(6):74-81.

[13]王勇,王颖.中国实现碳减排双控目标的可行性及最优路径:能源结构优化的视角[J].中国环境科学,2019,39(10):4444-4455.

[14]原嫄,孙欣彤.城市化、产业结构、能源消费、经济增长与碳排放的关联性分析:基于中国省际收入水平异质性的实证研究[J].气候变化研究进展,2020,16(6):738-747.

[15]张运洲,张宁,代红才,等.中国电力系统低碳发展分析模型构建与转型路径比较[J].中国电力,2021,54(3):1-11.

[16]王克,刘芳名,尹明健,等.1.5℃温升目标下中国碳排放路径研究[J].气候变化研究进展,2021,17(1):7-17.

[17]项目综合报告编写组.中国长期低碳发展战略与转型路径研究[J].中国人口.资源与环境.2020,30(11):1-25.

[18]张成龙,谭显东,翁玉艳,等.“十三五”以来电力消费增长原因分析及中长期展望[J].中国电力,2019,52(8):149-156.

[19]王志轩.2050年中国煤电发展的战略思考[J].中国电力企业管理,2013(15):34-41.

[20]韩晓平.有序从容推进碳达峰、碳中和[EB/OL].https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0k292qwnHC7DusMFCHCXaw,2021-05-16.

[21]IEA,CCUS in China in the Sustainable Development Scenario,2030-2070,IEA,Paris https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/ccus-in-china-in-the-sustainable-development-scenario-2030-2070.

[22]王志轩.“碳中和”下电力经济气候平衡体系与电力系统重构分析[J].中国能源,2021,43(4):46-51.

[23]李赛赛.低碳经济发展中的政府职能转变研究[D].西安:西安理工大学,2012.

[24]陈国平,董昱,梁志峰.能源转型中的中国特色新能源高质量发展分析与思考[J].中国电机工程学报,2020,40(17):5493-5506.

[25]庄智,胡琼琼,朱伟峰,等.国际碳排放核算标准现状与探讨[C]//国际绿色建筑与建筑节能大会.2011.

[26]International Renewable Energy Agency.Renewable power generation costs in 2019[R].http://www.chinapower.com.cn/d/file/p/2021/02-22/d51590206ecdb322add31c408aa9ba3c.pdf.

[27]刘志强,潘荔,赵毅,等.“十四五”时期我国火电行业节能潜力分析与建议[J].中国能源,2021,43(4):12-18+45.

[28]杨昆.关于“十四五”电力发展有关问题的思考[J].当代电力文化,2020(1):14-17.

Basic Information:

DOI:10.19944/j.eptep.1674-8069.2021.03.001

China Classification Code:X321

Citation Information:

[1]王志轩.碳达峰、碳中和目标实现路径与政策框架研究[J].电力科技与环保,2021,37(03):1-8.DOI:10.19944/j.eptep.1674-8069.2021.03.001.

Fund Information:

国家重点研发计划“大气污染成因与控制技术研究”(2016YFC0208102)

quote

GB/T 7714-2015
MLA
APA
Search Advanced Search